Housing Update

2015 Market

In 2015 about 500,000 households that lost their homes to foreclosure or a short sale back in 2007 will, if their finances are sufficiently solid, be able to again qualify for a conforming home loan. In all, over seven million such households will be added back to the pool of potential home buyers between now and 2022, with more than a million households being added in years 2016 through 2019.  

Think about that!

By: Elliot F. Eisenberg, Ph.D.

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Year 2015

In 2014, the yield curve flattened considerably as long-term interest rates, like the ten-year Treasury bond, fell by about three-quarters-of-one-percentage point while short-term rates were completely unchanged. In 2015, I expect the yield curve to flatten further, but now it will be short-term rates that rise as the Fed pushes them up, while long-term rates rise by a smaller amount because of a clear lack of expected inflation.

Elliot F. Eisenberg, Ph.D.

GraphsandLaughs, LLC

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Housing Sales

Housing sales peak in spring/summer, with price gains doing so as well. However, distressed sales, of which there have been many, occur relatively evenly all year. Therefore, distressed sales are highest as a percentage of all sales in fall/winter, thereby dragging down house prices and amplifying normal seasonal patterns. Distressed sales are now declining, but seasonal adjustment factors take years to adjust....